Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonina Shevchenko vs Dione Barbosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record10-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
67"Reach 66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamKings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonina ShevchenkoNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Dione BarbosaNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
55%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.40
53%
Strike defense
64%
0.43
Takedown avg.
2.40
43%
Takedown accuracy
8%
54%
Takedown defense
64%
0.43
Submission avg.
1.74

Trajectory

Antonina ShevchenkoDione Barbosa
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (10%)
Submission
5 (50%)
6 (60%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Dione Barbosa72%
Antonina Shevchenko 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Dione Barbosa a 72% favorite over Antonina Shevchenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1634), separated by just 6 points.

Dione Barbosa enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Antonina Shevchenko finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Dione Barbosa 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.