Antonio Trócoli vs Shara Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record17-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'2"
79"Reach73"
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
What's at stake
Shara Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Antonio Trócoli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1567
If they lose-7→ 1535
If they win+7→ 1782
If they lose-25→ 1750
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Antonio TrócoliShara Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shara Magomedov87%
Antonio Trócoli 13%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Shara Magomedov a 87% favorite over Antonio Trócoli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Shara Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1775 to 1542, a 233-point edge.
Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Shara Magomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shara Magomedov 71%.
Antonio Trócoli carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.