Archie Colgan vs Axel Sola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-1-0Record13-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Genesis Training AcademyTeamBoxing Squad· 1629 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Archie ColganAxel Sola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Archie Colgan53%
Axel Sola 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Archie Colgan a 53% favorite over Axel Sola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1733), separated by just 1 points.
Axel Sola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Archie Colgan finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Axel Sola 69%.
Axel Sola carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.