Combat Edge Model · Full card

Wow 33: Garcia vs Sanchez predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on Wow 33: Garcia vs Sanchez (October 24, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

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13Total bouts

13Frozen forecasts

11Close matchups

3Model / Elo splits

0Strong model leans

OpenPicks close at start

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Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.

Showing all 13 matchups.

Main card

Main card predictions

12 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

flyweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Borja Garcia7-2-0

Ander Sanchez3-3-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

51%Borja Garcia49%Ander Sanchez

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 63% / 37%

middleweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Arkaitz Ramos8-5-0

Jeferson Costa5-2-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

45%Arkaitz Ramos55%Jeferson Costa

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 43% / 57%

flyweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Delffy Humer3-0-0

João Lucas Rocha4-2-0

Close matchupModel / Elo split

48%Delffy Humer52%João Lucas Rocha

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 52% / 48%

bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Ubay Gonzalez4-3-0

Yaman Mjahed3-2-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

43%Ubay Gonzalez57%Yaman Mjahed

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 49% / 51%

featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Francis Silumsadisa2-1-0

Roberto Mario Ionescu3-2-1

Close matchupModel / Elo split

47%Francis Silumsadisa53%Roberto Mario Ionescu

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50.6% / 49.4%

bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Vincenzo Bussolotti2-0-0

Punyajit Likharu5-1-1

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

46%Vincenzo Bussolotti54%Punyajit Likharu

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 46% / 54%

featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Daniel Richardson3-0-0

Willmar Quirama4-0-1

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

49%Daniel Richardson51%Willmar Quirama

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 47% / 53%

featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Kaique Modesto7-5-0

Jonny Becerra2-1-0

Model leanModel / Elo split

56%Kaique Modesto44%Jonny Becerra

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 49.7% / 50.3%

middleweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Destiny Osarumwense0-0-0

Harrison Josiah0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Destiny Osarumwense50.1%Harrison Josiah

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

middleweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Sekou Sane0-0-0

Kiko Martin0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Sekou Sane50.1%Kiko Martin

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

welterweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Imanol Donoso0-0-0

Juancho Arenas0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Imanol Donoso50.1%Juancho Arenas

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

welterweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Jesus Basco3-2-0

Pedro Henrique Dias3-2-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

49%Jesus Basco51%Pedro Henrique Dias

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 48% / 52%

Prelims

Prelims predictions

1 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Izadi Fre0-0-0

Moustafa El Karchouh0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Izadi Fre50.1%Moustafa El Karchouh

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%