Ariane Carnelossi vs Lupita Godinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record14-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'2"
61"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Inside Muay Thai· 1671 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamLobo Gym MMA· 1725 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Lupita Godinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ariane Carnelossi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1645
If they lose-13→ 1613
If they win+13→ 1695
If they lose-19→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ariane CarnelossiLupita Godinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lupita Godinez84%
Ariane Carnelossi 16%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Lupita Godinez a 84% favorite over Ariane Carnelossi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Lupita Godinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1626, a 56-point edge.
Ariane Carnelossi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ariane Carnelossi finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Lupita Godinez 21%.
Ariane Carnelossi and Lupita Godinez share 1 common opponent: Ketlen Souza.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.