Ariane Carnelossi vs Piera Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record12-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
61"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Inside Muay ThaiTeamBlack House MMA
What's at stake
Piera Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ariane Carnelossi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1644
If they lose-13→ 1612
If they win+13→ 1693
If they lose-19→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ariane CarnelossiPiera Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Piera Rodriguez63%
Ariane Carnelossi 37%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Piera Rodriguez a 63% favorite over Ariane Carnelossi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Piera Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1625, a 55-point edge.
Ariane Carnelossi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Piera Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ariane Carnelossi finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Piera Rodriguez 42%.
Ariane Carnelossi and Piera Rodriguez share 1 common opponent: Ketlen Souza.
Piera Rodriguez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.