Combat Edge Intelligence

Ariane Carnelossi vs Victoria Dudakova

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record8-2-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'6"
61"Reach67"
115 lbsWeight117 lbs
Inside Muay ThaiTeamALEX Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ariane CarnelossiNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Victoria DudakovaNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
3.45
39%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.77
44%
Strike defense
50%
1.08
Takedown avg.
2.63
50%
Takedown accuracy
36%
23%
Takedown defense
50%
0.22
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ariane CarnelossiVictoria Dudakova
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
2 (14%)
Submission
4 (50%)
3 (21%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ariane Carnelossi and Victoria Dudakova within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.

Ariane Carnelossi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Victoria Dudakova enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ariane Carnelossi finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Victoria Dudakova 75%.

Ariane Carnelossi and Victoria Dudakova share 1 common opponent: Istela Nunes.

Victoria Dudakova carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2021
Istela Nunes
WinKO/TKO · 2023