Ariane Lipski da Silva vs JJ Aldrich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record15-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
67"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lioness MMATeamFreedom Fighters
What's at stake
JJ Aldrich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ariane Lipski da Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1647
If they lose-11→ 1623
If they win+14→ 1681
If they lose-18→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ariane Lipski da SilvaJJ Aldrich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
JJ Aldrich53%
Ariane Lipski da Silva 47%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes JJ Aldrich a 53% favorite over Ariane Lipski da Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
JJ Aldrich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1634, a 33-point edge.
JJ Aldrich enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ariane Lipski da Silva finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, JJ Aldrich 20%.
Ariane Lipski da Silva and JJ Aldrich share 1 common opponent: Montana De La Rosa.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.