Arman Tsarukyan vs Beneil Dariush
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-3-0Record23-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Beneil Dariush carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1847
If they lose-15→ 1823
If they win+15→ 1761
If they lose-9→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1764 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arman TsarukyanBeneil Dariush
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arman Tsarukyan78%
Beneil Dariush 22%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 78% favorite over Beneil Dariush in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1838 to 1746, a 92-point edge.
Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Beneil Dariush 57%.
Arman Tsarukyan and Beneil Dariush share 2 common opponents: Charles Oliveira and Mateusz Gamrot.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.