Arman Tsarukyan vs Charles Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-3-0Record37-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Charles Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1849
If they lose-13→ 1825
If they win+13→ 1825
If they lose-11→ 1801
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1767 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arman TsarukyanCharles Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arman Tsarukyan70%
Charles Oliveira 30%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 70% favorite over Charles Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1838 to 1812, a 26-point edge.
Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Charles Oliveira 86%.
Arman Tsarukyan and Charles Oliveira share 2 common opponents: Beneil Dariush and Mateusz Gamrot.
Charles Oliveira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.