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Combat Edge Intelligence

Arman Tsarukyan vs Charles Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Arman Tsarukyan
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Arman Tsarukyan

“The Batman / Ahalkalakets”

24-3-0LightweightUFC

1848Great

Tale of the tape

24-3-0Record37-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Charles Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Arman TsarukyanNow 1848
If they win+11→ 1859
If they lose-13→ 1835
Charles OliveiraNow 1812
If they win+13→ 1825
If they lose-11→ 1801

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1767 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
50%
Strike accuracy
56%
1.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
55%
Strike defense
49%
3.25
Takedown avg.
2.29
3%
Takedown accuracy
23%
75%
Takedown defense
55%
0.10
Submission avg.
2.59

Trajectory

Arman TsarukyanCharles Oliveira
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (42%)
KO/TKO
10 (27%)
6 (25%)
Submission
22 (59%)
8 (33%)
Decision
5 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Arman Tsarukyan61%
Charles Oliveira 39%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 61% favorite over Charles Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1812, a 36-point edge.

Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Arman Tsarukyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Charles Oliveira 86%.

Arman Tsarukyan and Charles Oliveira share 2 common opponents: Beneil Dariush and Mateusz Gamrot.

Charles Oliveira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Mateusz Gamrot
WinSubmission · 2025
WinKO · 2023
Beneil Dariush
WinKO/TKO · 2023