Arman Tsarukyan vs Mateusz Gamrot
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
23-3-0Record26-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
72"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mateusz Gamrot carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1849
If they lose-13→ 1825
If they win+13→ 1823
If they lose-11→ 1799
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arman TsarukyanMateusz Gamrot
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arman Tsarukyan66%
Mateusz Gamrot 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 66% favorite over Mateusz Gamrot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1838 to 1810, a 28-point edge.
Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Gamrot 54%.
Arman Tsarukyan and Mateusz Gamrot share 3 common opponents: Dan Hooker, Charles Oliveira and Beneil Dariush.
Arman Tsarukyan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.