Arman Tsarukyan vs Mateusz Gamrot
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record26-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
72"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mateusz Gamrot carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1859
If they lose-13→ 1835
If they win+13→ 1827
If they lose-11→ 1803
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arman TsarukyanMateusz Gamrot
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arman Tsarukyan68%
Mateusz Gamrot 32%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 68% favorite over Mateusz Gamrot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1814, a 34-point edge.
Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Gamrot 54%.
Arman Tsarukyan and Mateusz Gamrot share 3 common opponents: Dan Hooker, Charles Oliveira and Beneil Dariush.
Arman Tsarukyan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.