Combat Edge Intelligence

Armen Petrosyan vs Caio Borralho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record18-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
71"Reach 75"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Academy MMATeamThe Fighting Nerds

What's at stake

Caio Borralho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Armen Petrosyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Armen PetrosyanNow 1613
If they win+23→ 1636
If they lose-9→ 1604
Caio BorralhoNow 1789
If they win+9→ 1798
If they lose-23→ 1766

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1688 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
53%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
53%
Strike defense
60%
0.19
Takedown avg.
1.28
33%
Takedown accuracy
48%
32%
Takedown defense
77%
0
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Armen PetrosyanCaio Borralho
160016501700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (22%)
3 (33%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Borralho92%
Armen Petrosyan 8%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 92% favorite over Armen Petrosyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Caio Borralho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1613, a 176-point edge.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Armen Petrosyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Caio Borralho 50%.

Caio Borralho carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.