Combat Edge Intelligence

Armen Petrosyan vs Caio Borralho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record18-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
71"Reach 75"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Academy MMATeamThe Fighting Nerds· 1712 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Caio Borralho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Armen Petrosyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Armen PetrosyanNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-8→ 1579
Caio BorralhoNow 1789
If they win+8→ 1797
If they lose-24→ 1765

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1688 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
53%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
53%
Strike defense
60%
0.17
Takedown avg.
1.28
0%
Takedown accuracy
48%
41%
Takedown defense
77%
0
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Armen PetrosyanCaio Borralho
16001650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (22%)
3 (30%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Borralho92%
Armen Petrosyan 8%Elo baseline: 76%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 92% favorite over Armen Petrosyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).

Caio Borralho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1587, a 202-point edge.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Armen Petrosyan finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Caio Borralho 50%.

Caio Borralho carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.