Armen Petrosyan vs Caio Borralho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-0Record18-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
71"Reach 75"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Academy MMATeamThe Fighting Nerds· 1704 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Caio Borralho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Armen Petrosyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1614
If they lose-8→ 1582
If they win+8→ 1803
If they lose-24→ 1771
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Armen PetrosyanCaio Borralho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caio Borralho87%
Armen Petrosyan 13%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 87% favorite over Armen Petrosyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Caio Borralho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1590, a 205-point edge.
Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Armen Petrosyan finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Caio Borralho 50%.
Caio Borralho carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.