Armen Petrosyan vs Christian Leroy Duncan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record14-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
71"Reach79"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Academy MMATeamRange Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Armen Petrosyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1635
If they lose-10→ 1603
If they win+10→ 1757
If they lose-22→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Armen PetrosyanChristian Leroy Duncan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan92%
Armen Petrosyan 8%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 92% favorite over Armen Petrosyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1613, a 134-point edge.
Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Armen Petrosyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Christian Leroy Duncan 79%.
Armen Petrosyan and Christian Leroy Duncan share 1 common opponent: Gregory Rodrigues.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.