Armen Petrosyan vs Christian Leroy Duncan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-0Record15-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
71"Reach79"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Armen Petrosyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1613
If they lose-9→ 1581
If they win+9→ 1761
If they lose-23→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Armen PetrosyanChristian Leroy Duncan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan94%
Armen Petrosyan 6%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 94% favorite over Armen Petrosyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1590, a 162-point edge.
Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Armen Petrosyan finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Christian Leroy Duncan 73%.
Armen Petrosyan and Christian Leroy Duncan share 1 common opponent: Gregory Rodrigues.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.