Combat Edge Intelligence

Armen Petrosyan vs Ryan Jensen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record21-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight175 lbs
Academy MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Armen PetrosyanNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Ryan JensenNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.84
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
53%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
53%
Strike defense
59%
0.17
Takedown avg.
1.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
41%
Takedown defense
31%
0
Submission avg.
2.20

Trajectory

Armen PetrosyanRyan Jensen
1550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
9 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
12 (57%)
3 (30%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Armen Petrosyan66%
Ryan Jensen 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Armen Petrosyan a 66% favorite over Ryan Jensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Armen Petrosyan finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Jensen 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.