Combat Edge Intelligence

Arnold Allen vs Calvin Kattar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Arnold Allen

Arnold Allen

“Almighty”

21-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1781Great
Calvin Kattar
us

Calvin Kattar

“The Boston Finisher”

23-10-0FeatherweightUFC

1697Good

Tale of the tape

21-4-0Record23-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamCarlos Neto BJJ

What's at stake

Arnold Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Calvin Kattar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Arnold AllenNow 1781
If they win+9→ 1790
If they lose-15→ 1766
Calvin KattarNow 1697
If they win+15→ 1712
If they lose-9→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.47
Sig. strikes / min
4.60
42%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.62
60%
Strike defense
54%
0.86
Takedown avg.
0.36
48%
Takedown accuracy
29%
72%
Takedown defense
77%
0.31
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Arnold AllenCalvin Kattar
1700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (38%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
4 (19%)
Submission
2 (9%)
9 (43%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Arnold Allen83%
Calvin Kattar 17%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 83% favorite over Calvin Kattar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Arnold Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1697, a 84-point edge.

Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Arnold Allen finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Calvin Kattar 57%.

Arnold Allen and Calvin Kattar share 2 common opponents: Giga Chikadze and Max Holloway.

Calvin Kattar carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Giga Chikadze
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Max Holloway
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021