Arnold Allen vs Lerone Murphy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-4-0Record17-1-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamManchester Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
If they win+16→ 1807
If they lose-16→ 1775
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arnold AllenLerone Murphy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arnold Allen56%
Lerone Murphy 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 56% favorite over Lerone Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lerone Murphy's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1791), separated by just 10 points.
Arnold Allen finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Lerone Murphy 47%.
Arnold Allen and Lerone Murphy share 1 common opponent: Movsar Evloev.
Lerone Murphy carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.