Arnold Allen vs Nik Lentz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-4-0Record30-12-2
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Arnold Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Nik Lentz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1789
If they lose-16→ 1765
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-8→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arnold AllenNik Lentz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arnold Allen88%
Nik Lentz 12%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 88% favorite over Nik Lentz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Arnold Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1670, a 111-point edge.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Arnold Allen finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Nik Lentz 63%.
Arnold Allen and Nik Lentz share 1 common opponent: Movsar Evloev.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.