Combat Edge Intelligence

Arnold Allen vs Patricio Pitbull

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Arnold Allen
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Arnold Allen

“Almighty”

21-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1781Great

Tale of the tape

21-4-0Record37-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
70"Reach65"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamPitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arnold AllenNow 1781
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
Patricio PitbullNow 1783
If they win+12→ 1795
If they lose-12→ 1771

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.52
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
60%
Strike defense
58%
1.24
Takedown avg.
1.49
27%
Takedown accuracy
33%
73%
Takedown defense
89%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Arnold AllenPatricio Pitbull
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
12 (32%)
4 (19%)
Submission
12 (32%)
10 (48%)
Decision
13 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Arnold Allen63%
Patricio Pitbull 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 63% favorite over Patricio Pitbull in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patricio Pitbull's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1783), separated by just 2 points.

Arnold Allen finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Patricio Pitbull 65%.

Arnold Allen carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.