Asaf Chopurov vs Colby Thicknesse
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-0-0Record9-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach69"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Sambo 34TeamFreestyle Fighting Gym· 1729 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Asaf Chopurov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Colby Thicknesse carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1741
If they lose-19→ 1709
If they win+19→ 1688
If they lose-13→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Asaf ChopurovColby Thicknesse
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Asaf Chopurov60%
Colby Thicknesse 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Asaf Chopurov a 60% favorite over Colby Thicknesse in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Asaf Chopurov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1669, a 59-point edge.
Asaf Chopurov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Colby Thicknesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Asaf Chopurov finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Colby Thicknesse 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.