Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Veronica Hardy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record10-5-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'3"
67,5"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Reign MMATeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
Veronica Hardy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ashlee Evans-Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1541
If they lose-13→ 1509
If they win+13→ 1604
If they lose-19→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashlee Evans-SmithVeronica Hardy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Veronica Hardy75%
Ashlee Evans-Smith 25%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Veronica Hardy a 75% favorite over Ashlee Evans-Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Veronica Hardy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1591 to 1522, a 69-point edge.
Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ashlee Evans-Smith finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Veronica Hardy 30%.
Ashlee Evans-Smith and Veronica Hardy share 1 common opponent: Andrea Lee.
Ashlee Evans-Smith carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.