Combat Edge Intelligence

Asu Almabayev vs Ode Osbourne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ode Osbourne
us

Ode Osbourne

“The Jamaican Sensation”

13-9-0FlyweightUFC

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

24-3-0Record13-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
65"Reach73"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

Asu Almabayev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Ode Osbourne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Asu AlmabayevNow 1786
If they win+6→ 1792
If they lose-18→ 1768
Ode OsbourneNow 1591
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-8→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.31
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
51%
Strike accuracy
41%
1.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
54%
Strike defense
49%
4.46
Takedown avg.
0.94
43%
Takedown accuracy
0%
44%
Takedown defense
67%
1.49
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Asu AlmabayevOde Osbourne
16001650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
11 (46%)
Submission
4 (31%)
10 (42%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Asu Almabayev91%
Ode Osbourne 9%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Asu Almabayev a 91% favorite over Ode Osbourne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Asu Almabayev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1786 to 1591, a 195-point edge.

Asu Almabayev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ode Osbourne enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Asu Almabayev finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ode Osbourne 77%.

Asu Almabayev and Ode Osbourne share 2 common opponents: Charles Johnson and Cj Vergara.

Ode Osbourne carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinSubmission · 2026
Charles Johnson
WinDecision - Split · 2023
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Cj Vergara
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2021