Ateba Gautier vs José Medina
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
81"Reach74″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamPhuket Fight Club
What's at stake
Ateba Gautier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — José Medina carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1729
If they lose-24→ 1697
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-8→ 1528
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ateba GautierJosé Medina
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ateba Gautier92%
José Medina 8%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 92% favorite over José Medina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Ateba Gautier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1536, a 185-point edge.
Ateba Gautier enters on a 10-fight win streak.
José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Ateba Gautier finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, José Medina 91%.
Ateba Gautier carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.