Austen Lane vs Iwo Baraniewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record9-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'0"
80"Reach73"
255 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bulldog BoxingTeamAligatores Fight Club
What's at stake
Iwo Baraniewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Austen Lane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1596
If they lose-10→ 1564
If they win+15→ 1731
If they lose-33→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austen LaneIwo Baraniewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iwo Baraniewski92%
Austen Lane 8%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 92% favorite over Austen Lane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Iwo Baraniewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1574, a 142-point edge.
Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Austen Lane finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Iwo Baraniewski 100%.
Austen Lane carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.