Austin Ross vs Matheus Moraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record1-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight220 lbs
What's at stake
Austin Ross is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Matheus Moraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1576
If they lose-27→ 1528
If they win+27→ 1534
If they lose-21→ 1486
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin RossMatheus Moraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Ross54%
Matheus Moraes 46%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Ross a 54% favorite over Matheus Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Austin Ross holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1555 to 1507, a 48-point edge.
Austin Ross enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.