Combat Edge Intelligence

Axel Sola vs Chase Hooper

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-1Record17-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"Reach74"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1708 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCombat Sport & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Axel SolaNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Chase HooperNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
4.50
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
62%
Strike defense
40%
1.89
Takedown avg.
2.43
9%
Takedown accuracy
2%
67%
Takedown defense
55%
0.47
Submission avg.
2.08

Trajectory

Axel SolaChase Hooper
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (24%)
2 (17%)
Submission
9 (53%)
4 (33%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Axel Sola and Chase Hooper within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1706), separated by just 0 points.

Axel Sola finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Chase Hooper 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.