Combat Edge Intelligence

Axel Sola vs Chase Hooper

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-1Record16-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"Reach74"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boxing SquadTeamCombat Sport & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Axel SolaNow 1687
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Chase HooperNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.50
46%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
61%
Strike defense
40%
2.22
Takedown avg.
2.43
36%
Takedown accuracy
2%
0%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
2.08

Trajectory

Axel SolaChase Hooper
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
1 (9%)
Submission
8 (50%)
4 (36%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Axel Sola and Chase Hooper within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1691), separated by just 4 points.

Chase Hooper enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Axel Sola finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Chase Hooper 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.