Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Reyes69%
Azamat Murzakanov 31%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Reyes a 69% favorite over Azamat Murzakanov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1758 vs 1769), separated by just 11 points.
Azamat Murzakanov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dominick Reyes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Azamat Murzakanov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Dominick Reyes 76%.
Azamat Murzakanov and Dominick Reyes share 1 common opponent: Dustin Jacoby.
Dominick Reyes carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
16-2-0Record17-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
71"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
K Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1639 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1624 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1775
If they lose-15→ 1743
If they win+15→ 1784
If they lose-17→ 1752
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Azamat MurzakanovDominick Reyes