Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-1-0Record16-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
71"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Azamat Murzakanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Dominick Reyes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1794
If they lose-17→ 1762
If they win+17→ 1766
If they lose-15→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Azamat MurzakanovDominick Reyes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Azamat Murzakanov51%
Dominick Reyes 49%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Azamat Murzakanov a 51% favorite over Dominick Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Azamat Murzakanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1749, a 30-point edge.
Azamat Murzakanov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Dominick Reyes 75%.
Azamat Murzakanov and Dominick Reyes share 1 common opponent: Dustin Jacoby.
Dominick Reyes carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.