Dominick Reyes vs Azamat Murzakanov

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueEtihad Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Dominick ReyesThe Devastator |16-5-0Dominick Reyes vs Azamat MurzakanovAzamat MurzakanovThe Professional |16-1-0

Dominick ReyesThe Devastator16-5-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

16-5-0Record16-1-0

36Age37

6'4"Height5'11"

77"Reach71"

205 lbsWeight205 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Azamat MurzakanovThe Professional16-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Azamat Murzakanov owns a 31-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Dominick Reyes and Azamat Murzakanov across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Dominick ReyesAzamat Murzakanov

Recent form

Dominick ReyesW L W W W · +47 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Azamat MurzakanovL W W W W · +31 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Dominick Reyes1748+10 last move

Azamat Murzakanov1779-23 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

53%Dominick Reyes47%Azamat Murzakanov

Model favoriteDominick Reyes

Elo baseline46% for Dominick Reyes

Matchup adjustment+7 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Dominick ReyesStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Dominick Reyes is 53%, after Elo alone favored Azamat Murzakanov at 54%.

Current Elo ratings1748 · 1779Azamat Murzakanov leads by 31 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1743 · 1633Dominick Reyes faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth21 · 17 fightsDominick Reyes has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesDominick Reyes 2 · 2 Azamat MurzakanovStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Dominick Reyes.

Stat advantages

Dominick ReyesvsAzamat Murzakanov

Takedown accuracy

14%vs7%

Takedown average

0.25vs0.68

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.99vs4.40

Sig. strike defense

50%vs56%

Finishing profile

Dominick ReyesKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO leads 75% of wins

Common opponents

Johnny Walker Dominick Reyes: win · Decision (Split) · Apr 11, 2026 Azamat Murzakanov: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jun 7, 2025

Nikita Krylov Dominick Reyes: win · KO (punches) · Apr 12, 2025Azamat Murzakanov: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Nov 16, 2024

Volkan Oezdemir Dominick Reyes: win · Decision (Split) · Mar 16, 2019Azamat Murzakanov: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Sep 2, 2023

Tale of the tape

Dominick ReyesAzamat Murzakanov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.99Sig. strikes landed per min4.40

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

54Sig. strike accuracy56

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

3.40Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.20

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

50Sig. strike defense56

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

0.25Takedown average0.68

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

14Takedown accuracy7

UFC light heavyweight average : 27%

83Takedown defense89

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

0.25Submission average0.23

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

10Wins by knockout12

2Wins by submission1

4Wins by decision3

4Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision0

Dominick Reyes vs Azamat Murzakanov is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV. Dominick Reyes enters with a 16-5-0 record and Azamat Murzakanov enters with a 16-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.