Babar Ali vs Imran Satiev
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Imran Satiev58%
Babar Ali 42%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Imran Satiev a 58% favorite over Babar Ali in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Imran Satiev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1607 to 1590, a 17-point edge.
Babar Ali finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Imran Satiev 50%.
Babar Ali and Imran Satiev share 1 common opponent: Chayan Oorzhak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record6-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Imran Satiev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Babar Ali carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1607
If they lose-15→ 1575
If they win+23→ 1630
If they lose-25→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Babar AliImran Satiev
Win method breakdown
Common opponents (1)
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
LossTKO (Elbow and Punches) · 2025