ONE FRIDAY FIGHTS 173 BANGKOK : BUAKAEW VS NAT KHAT MIN

Imran Satiev vs Babar Ali

DateOct 2, 2026

DivisionBantamweight MMA

StatusScheduled

VenueLumpinee Stadium

BroadcastYouTube

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 2, 2026 — watch on YouTube.

US East (ET): Fri 7:30 AM
US West (PT): Fri 4:30 AM
United Kingdom: Fri 12:30 PM
Central Europe: Fri 1:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 9:30 PM
Your time

Imran Satiev5-1-0Imran Satiev vs Babar AliBabar AliThe Flogger |10-3-0

Imran Satiev5-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

5-1-0Record10-3-0

27Age24

5'7"Height5'11"

TBDReachTBD

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

Bantamweight MMAWeight ClassBantamweight MMA

Babar AliThe Flogger10-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Babar Ali owns a 36-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Imran Satiev and Babar Ali across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Imran SatievBabar Ali

Recent form

Imran SatievL W W W W · +52 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Babar AliW W W L W · +22 Elo last 5

WWWLW

Elo edge

Imran Satiev1575-35 last move

Babar Ali1611+13 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

56%Imran Satiev44%Babar Ali

Model favoriteImran Satiev

Elo baseline45% for Imran Satiev

Matchup adjustment+11 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Imran SatievStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Imran Satiev is 56%, after Elo alone favored Babar Ali at 55%.

Current Elo ratings1575 · 1611Babar Ali leads by 36 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1508 · 1489Imran Satiev faced the stronger recent schedule (6 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth6 · 13 fightsBabar Ali has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Imran SatievvsBabar Ali

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Imran Satievdecision leads 60% of wins

Babar AliKO/TKO leads 70% of wins

Common opponents

Chayan OorzhakImran Satiev: loss · TKO (Elbow and Punches) · Nov 28, 2025Babar Ali: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Feb 23, 2024

Tale of the tape

Imran SatievBabar Ali

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.70

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.76

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

1Wins by knockout7

1Wins by submission1

3Wins by decision2

1Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission2

0Losses by decision1

Imran Satiev vs Babar Ali is a scheduled Bantamweight MMA fight on ONE FRIDAY FIGHTS 173 BANGKOK : BUAKAEW VS NAT KHAT MIN. Imran Satiev enters with a 5-1-0 record and Babar Ali enters with a 10-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.