Combat Edge Intelligence

Baisangur Susurkaev vs Eric Nolan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Nolan
us

Eric Nolan

“Night Time”

8-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record8-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
79"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamLionheart Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

Baisangur Susurkaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Eric Nolan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Baisangur SusurkaevNow 1743
If they win+7→ 1750
If they lose-25→ 1718
Eric NolanNow 1537
If they win+25→ 1562
If they lose-7→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.56
Sig. strikes / min
3.14
59%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.13
53%
Strike defense
42%
2.76
Takedown avg.
0
29%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
71%
0.69
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Baisangur SusurkaevEric Nolan
150016001700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
2 (17%)
Submission
2 (25%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Baisangur Susurkaev87%
Eric Nolan 13%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Baisangur Susurkaev a 87% favorite over Eric Nolan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Baisangur Susurkaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1537, a 206-point edge.

Baisangur Susurkaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Baisangur Susurkaev finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Eric Nolan 75%.

Baisangur Susurkaev carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.