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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bia Mesquita vs Joselyne Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record18-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'2"Height5'6"
66"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Joselyne Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Bia Mesquita carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bia MesquitaNow 1691
If they win+25→ 1716
If they lose-23→ 1668
Joselyne EdwardsNow 1707
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-17→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
4.61
57%
Strike accuracy
54%
1.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
71%
Strike defense
50%
3.57
Takedown avg.
1.43
50%
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
61%
3.57
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Bia MesquitaJoselyne Edwards
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
6 (86%)
Submission
4 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Joselyne Edwards64%
Bia Mesquita 36%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Joselyne Edwards a 64% favorite over Bia Mesquita in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Joselyne Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1691, a 16-point edge.

Bia Mesquita enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Joselyne Edwards enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Bia Mesquita finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joselyne Edwards 67%.

Joselyne Edwards carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.