Combat Edge Intelligence

Bia Mesquita vs Michelle Montague

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record8-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'2"Height5'9"
66"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bia MesquitaNow 1690
If they win+24→ 1714
If they lose-24→ 1666
Michelle MontagueNow 1687
If they win+24→ 1711
If they lose-24→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.73
60%
Strike accuracy
47%
0.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.20
81%
Strike defense
41%
4.81
Takedown avg.
5
75%
Takedown accuracy
71%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
3.21
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bia MesquitaMichelle Montague
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (86%)
Submission
6 (75%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bia Mesquita and Michelle Montague within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1687), separated by just 3 points.

Bia Mesquita enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Michelle Montague enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Bia Mesquita finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Michelle Montague 75%.

Michelle Montague carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.