Bia Mesquita vs Norma Dumont
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record13-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'2"Height5'7"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Rules
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1714
If they lose-24→ 1666
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bia MesquitaNorma Dumont
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bia Mesquita60%
Norma Dumont 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bia Mesquita a 60% favorite over Norma Dumont in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Norma Dumont's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1692), separated by just 2 points.
Bia Mesquita enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Bia Mesquita finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Norma Dumont 15%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.