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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bekzat Almakhan vs Long Xiao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record27-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bekzat AlmakhanNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Long XiaoNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.61
Sig. strikes / min
5.06
34%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
37%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0.74
0%
Takedown accuracy
11%
42%
Takedown defense
82%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bekzat AlmakhanLong Xiao
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (83%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
1 (8%)
Submission
9 (33%)
1 (8%)
Decision
13 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Long Xiao62%
Bekzat Almakhan 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 62% favorite over Bekzat Almakhan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1667), separated by just 2 points.

Bekzat Almakhan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Long Xiao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bekzat Almakhan finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Long Xiao 52%.

Long Xiao carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.