Combat Edge Intelligence

Beneil Dariush vs Charles Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record37-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Charles Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Beneil Dariush carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Beneil DariushNow 1745
If they win+14→ 1759
If they lose-10→ 1735
Charles OliveiraNow 1812
If they win+10→ 1822
If they lose-14→ 1798

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1766 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.35
49%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
58%
Strike defense
49%
2.11
Takedown avg.
2.22
38%
Takedown accuracy
40%
82%
Takedown defense
55%
0.82
Submission avg.
2.61

Trajectory

Beneil DariushCharles Oliveira
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
10 (27%)
8 (35%)
Submission
22 (59%)
10 (43%)
Decision
5 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Oliveira68%
Beneil Dariush 32%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 68% favorite over Beneil Dariush in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Charles Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1745, a 67-point edge.

Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Charles Oliveira 86%.

Beneil Dariush and Charles Oliveira share 2 common opponents: Arman Tsarukyan and Mateusz Gamrot.

Charles Oliveira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Mateusz Gamrot
WinSubmission · 2025
LossKO · 2023
Arman Tsarukyan
LossDecision - Split · 2024