Beneil Dariush vs Diego Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-1Record19-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Beneil Dariush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Diego Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1756
If they lose-13→ 1732
If they win+13→ 1739
If they lose-11→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Beneil DariushDiego Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Beneil Dariush63%
Diego Ferreira 37%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Beneil Dariush a 63% favorite over Diego Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Beneil Dariush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1726, a 19-point edge.
Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Diego Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Diego Ferreira 63%.
Beneil Dariush and Diego Ferreira share 1 common opponent: Mateusz Gamrot.
Diego Ferreira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.