Combat Edge Intelligence

Beneil Dariush vs Diego Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record20-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Beneil DariushNow 1746
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-12→ 1734
Diego FerreiraNow 1737
If they win+12→ 1749
If they lose-12→ 1725

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.70
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
58%
Strike defense
56%
2.11
Takedown avg.
0.82
38%
Takedown accuracy
3%
82%
Takedown defense
58%
0.82
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Beneil DariushDiego Ferreira
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (25%)
8 (35%)
Submission
7 (35%)
10 (43%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Beneil Dariush and Diego Ferreira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1737), separated by just 9 points.

Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Diego Ferreira 60%.

Beneil Dariush and Diego Ferreira share 1 common opponent: Mateusz Gamrot.

Diego Ferreira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Mateusz Gamrot
LossTKO · 2021