Beneil Dariush vs Drew Dober
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-1Record29-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach70″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Beneil Dariush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Drew Dober carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1755
If they lose-14→ 1731
If they win+14→ 1715
If they lose-10→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Beneil DariushDrew Dober
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Beneil Dariush60%
Drew Dober 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Beneil Dariush a 60% favorite over Drew Dober in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Beneil Dariush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1701, a 44-point edge.
Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Drew Dober 76%.
Beneil Dariush and Drew Dober share 1 common opponent: Renato Moicano.
Beneil Dariush carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.