Combat Edge Intelligence

Beneil Dariush vs Esteban Ribovics

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record16-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Beneil DariushNow 1746
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-12→ 1734
Esteban RibovicsNow 1746
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
7.27
49%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
58%
Strike defense
55%
2.11
Takedown avg.
0.35
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
82%
Takedown defense
66%
0.82
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Beneil DariushEsteban Ribovics
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
8 (35%)
Submission
5 (31%)
10 (43%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Esteban Ribovics77%
Beneil Dariush 23%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 77% favorite over Beneil Dariush in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Beneil Dariush's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1746), separated by just 0 points.

Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Esteban Ribovics 81%.

Beneil Dariush and Esteban Ribovics share 1 common opponent: Mateusz Gamrot.

Beneil Dariush carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Mateusz Gamrot
LossSubmission · 2026