Combat Edge Intelligence

Beneil Dariush vs Jim Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Miller
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Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record39-19-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamSussex County MMA

What's at stake

Beneil Dariush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jim Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Beneil DariushNow 1745
If they win+11→ 1756
If they lose-13→ 1732
Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+13→ 1733
If they lose-11→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
49%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
58%
Strike defense
57%
2.11
Takedown avg.
1.50
38%
Takedown accuracy
45%
82%
Takedown defense
49%
0.82
Submission avg.
1.70

Trajectory

Beneil DariushJim Miller
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
7 (18%)
8 (35%)
Submission
22 (56%)
10 (43%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Beneil Dariush51%
Jim Miller 49%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Beneil Dariush a 51% favorite over Jim Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Beneil Dariush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1720, a 25-point edge.

Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.