Beneil Dariush vs Mateusz Gamrot
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-1Record26-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Mateusz Gamrot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Beneil Dariush carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1760
If they lose-9→ 1736
If they win+9→ 1833
If they lose-15→ 1809
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1751 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Beneil DariushMateusz Gamrot
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Gamrot73%
Beneil Dariush 27%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Gamrot a 73% favorite over Beneil Dariush in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Mateusz Gamrot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1824 to 1745, a 79-point edge.
Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Gamrot 54%.
Beneil Dariush and Mateusz Gamrot share 3 common opponents: Arman Tsarukyan, Charles Oliveira and Diego Ferreira.
Beneil Dariush carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.