Combat Edge Intelligence

Beneil Dariush vs Scott Holtzman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamShield Systems

What's at stake

Beneil Dariush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Scott Holtzman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Beneil DariushNow 1745
If they win+9→ 1754
If they lose-15→ 1730
Scott HoltzmanNow 1664
If they win+20→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
58%
Strike defense
55%
2.11
Takedown avg.
1.88
38%
Takedown accuracy
57%
82%
Takedown defense
67%
0.82
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Beneil DariushScott Holtzman
1650170017501800202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
8 (35%)
Submission
2 (14%)
10 (43%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Beneil Dariush79%
Scott Holtzman 21%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Beneil Dariush a 79% favorite over Scott Holtzman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Beneil Dariush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1664, a 81-point edge.

Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Scott Holtzman 50%.

Beneil Dariush and Scott Holtzman share 1 common opponent: Mateusz Gamrot.

Beneil Dariush carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Mateusz Gamrot
LossKO · 2021