Benoit Saint-Denis vs Ismael Bonfim
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record20-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CYFITTeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Benoit Saint-Denis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ismael Bonfim carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1778
If they lose-21→ 1746
If they win+21→ 1683
If they lose-11→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Benoit Saint-DenisIsmael Bonfim
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Benoit Saint-Denis81%
Ismael Bonfim 19%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 81% favorite over Ismael Bonfim in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Benoit Saint-Denis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1662, a 105-point edge.
Ismael Bonfim enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ismael Bonfim 65%.
Benoit Saint-Denis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.