Combat Edge Intelligence

Benoit Saint-Denis vs Mauricio Ruffy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record14-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CYFITTeamThe Fighting Nerds· 1702 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Benoit Saint-Denis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mauricio Ruffy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benoit Saint-DenisNow 1766
If they win+14→ 1780
If they lose-18→ 1748
Mauricio RuffyNow 1732
If they win+18→ 1750
If they lose-14→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.62
Sig. strikes / min
4.19
59%
Strike accuracy
57%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.83
42%
Strike defense
59%
4.19
Takedown avg.
0
36%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
87%
1.75
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Benoit Saint-DenisMauricio Ruffy
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
11 (65%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Benoit Saint-Denis53%
Mauricio Ruffy 47%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 53% favorite over Mauricio Ruffy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Benoit Saint-Denis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1732, a 34-point edge.

Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mauricio Ruffy 93%.

Mauricio Ruffy carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.