Combat Edge Intelligence

Benoit Saint-Denis vs Mauricio Ruffy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CYFITTeamThe Fighting Nerds

What's at stake

Benoit Saint-Denis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mauricio Ruffy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benoit Saint-DenisNow 1767
If they win+15→ 1782
If they lose-17→ 1750
Mauricio RuffyNow 1747
If they win+17→ 1764
If they lose-15→ 1732

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.62
Sig. strikes / min
4.19
59%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
42%
Strike defense
59%
4.19
Takedown avg.
0
36%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
85%
1.75
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Benoit Saint-DenisMauricio Ruffy
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
11 (65%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Benoit Saint-Denis and Mauricio Ruffy within a point of even.

Benoit Saint-Denis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1747, a 20-point edge.

Mauricio Ruffy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mauricio Ruffy 93%.

Mauricio Ruffy carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.