Combat Edge Intelligence

Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach 73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CYFITTeamNext Generation UK

What's at stake

Paddy Pimblett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Benoit Saint-Denis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benoit Saint-DenisNow 1767
If they win+17→ 1784
If they lose-15→ 1752
Paddy PimblettNow 1795
If they win+11→ 1806
If they lose-13→ 1782

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.62
Sig. strikes / min
5.49
59%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
42%
Strike defense
43%
4.19
Takedown avg.
0.69
36%
Takedown accuracy
21%
72%
Takedown defense
44%
1.75
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Benoit Saint-DenisPaddy Pimblett
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
11 (65%)
Submission
11 (46%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Benoit Saint-Denis and Paddy Pimblett within a point of even.

Paddy Pimblett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1767, a 28-point edge.

Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Pimblett 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.