Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach 73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CYFITTeamNext Generation UK
What's at stake
Paddy Pimblett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Benoit Saint-Denis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1783
If they lose-15→ 1751
If they win+11→ 1805
If they lose-13→ 1781
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Benoit Saint-DenisPaddy Pimblett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Benoit Saint-Denis57%
Paddy Pimblett 43%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 57% favorite over Paddy Pimblett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paddy Pimblett's way (46%).
Paddy Pimblett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1794 to 1766, a 28-point edge.
Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Pimblett 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.