Combat Edge Intelligence

Benoit Saint-Denis vs Rafa García

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record19-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CYFITTeamTeam Elevation

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Benoit Saint-DenisNow 1767
If they win+15→ 1782
If they lose-17→ 1750
Rafa GarcíaNow 1756
If they win+17→ 1773
If they lose-15→ 1741

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.62
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
59%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.42
42%
Strike defense
61%
4.19
Takedown avg.
3.22
36%
Takedown accuracy
17%
72%
Takedown defense
77%
1.75
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Benoit Saint-DenisRafa García
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
11 (65%)
Submission
8 (44%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Benoit Saint-Denis and Rafa García within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1767 vs 1756), separated by just 11 points.

Rafa García enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rafa García 56%.

Benoit Saint-Denis carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.