Combat Edge Intelligence

Benoit Saint-Denis vs Thiago Moisés

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record19-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CYFITTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Benoit Saint-Denis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Thiago Moisés carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benoit Saint-DenisNow 1767
If they win+12→ 1779
If they lose-20→ 1747
Thiago MoisésNow 1683
If they win+15→ 1698
If they lose-9→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.62
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
59%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
42%
Strike defense
53%
4.19
Takedown avg.
1.31
36%
Takedown accuracy
36%
72%
Takedown defense
53%
1.75
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Benoit Saint-DenisThiago Moisés
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
11 (65%)
Submission
8 (42%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Benoit Saint-Denis92%
Thiago Moisés 8%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 92% favorite over Thiago Moisés in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Benoit Saint-Denis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1683, a 84-point edge.

Thiago Moisés enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Moisés 63%.

Benoit Saint-Denis carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.