Benson Henderson vs Michael Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-13-0Record10-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"Reach78"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamKO Squad MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Benson HendersonMichael Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Oliveira61%
Benson Henderson 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Oliveira a 61% favorite over Benson Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Benson Henderson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1720), separated by just 0 points.
Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Oliveira enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Benson Henderson finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Michael Oliveira 90%.
Michael Oliveira carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.