Berkan Badur vs Lucas Nascimento
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'6"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight160 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1576 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamGOR MMA· 1706 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Berkan BadurLucas Nascimento
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Nascimento60%
Berkan Badur 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Nascimento a 60% favorite over Berkan Badur in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Berkan Badur's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1567), separated by just 7 points.
Lucas Nascimento enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Berkan Badur finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Nascimento 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.