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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan

Main eventTom Nolan def. Renato Moicanoby TKO · 12 results recordedFull result →
DateSaturday, October 31, 2026Start 8:00 PM EDT
VenueMeta APEXLas Vegas, United States
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+How to watch
Join the discussionPredictions & oddsOfficial UFC event
Fight resultsComplete12 of 12 outcomes recordedView resultsHide results

Results appear as they are recorded; confirmation may be delayed. Each result shows what it does to both ratings: projected at first, then the published change once the rankings have counted the bout.

  1. Renato Moicano vs Tom NolanTom Nolan def. Renato Moicano by TKO · Round 3 · 1:28Elo: Renato Moicano −15 to 1728 · Tom Nolan +20 to 1747
  2. Randy Brown vs Jacobe SmithJacobe Smith def. Randy Brown by Decision (unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Randy Brown −12 to 1731 · Jacobe Smith +16 to 1763
  3. Ode Osbourne vs Cody DurdenCody Durden def. Ode Osbourne by Decision (unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Ode Osbourne −14 to 1577 · Cody Durden +11 to 1636
  4. Yana Santos vs Luana SantosLuana Santos def. Yana Santos by Decision (unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Yana Santos −15 to 1646 · Luana Santos +15 to 1707
  5. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman HasanovJean-Paul Lebosnoyani def. Farman Hasanov by TKO · Round 3 · 2:11Elo: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani +17 to 1702 · Farman Hasanov −25 to 1615
  6. Francis Marshall vs Dakota HopeDakota Hope def. Francis Marshall by Decision (split) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Francis Marshall −13 to 1641 · Dakota Hope +13 to 1678
  7. Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor BerggrenRodrigo Sezinando def. Theodor Berggren by TKO · Round 2 · 5:00Elo: Rodrigo Sezinando +17 to 1638 · Theodor Berggren −17 to 1570
  8. Julian Erosa vs Jeong Yeong LeeJulian Erosa def. Jeong Yeong Lee by KO · Round 1 · 1:31Elo: Julian Erosa +14 to 1709 · Jeong Yeong Lee −18 to 1658
  9. Zach Reese vs Mickey GallZach Reese def. Mickey Gall by Decision (unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Zach Reese +12 to 1676 · Mickey Gall −12 to 1554
  10. Nick Klein vs Joseph KropschotJoseph Kropschot def. Nick Klein by Submission · Round 2 · 1:25Elo: Nick Klein −15 to 1518 · Joseph Kropschot +15 to 1630
  11. Talita Alencar vs Piera RodriguezPiera Rodriguez def. Talita Alencar by Decision (unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Talita Alencar −14 to 1654 · Piera Rodriguez +14 to 1720
  12. Lucia Szabová vs Tainara LisboaLucia Szabová def. Tainara Lisboa by TKO · Round 3 · 3:20Elo: Lucia Szabová +12 to 1740 · Tainara Lisboa −12 to 1576

Recorded results remain available on this page.

Main card

Renato Moicano
Elo1728Good
3Y trend1717 → 1728
2024-02-04: 17172024-04-14: 17352024-09-28: 17552025-01-18: 17432025-06-28: 17282026-04-04: 17432026-10-31: 1728
Loser#10brRenato MoicanoMoicano21-8-1LIGHTWEIGHT BOUTVSFight details →Winner#14auTom NolanBig Train12-1-0Tom Nolan
Elo1747Good
3Y trend1617 → 1747
2024-01-14: 16172024-05-18: 16482024-08-17: 16702025-02-08: 16922025-09-27: 17102026-06-06: 17272026-10-31: 1747
Randy Brown
Elo1731Good
3Y trend1758 → 1731
2024-02-04: 17582024-06-02: 17722024-12-07: 17562025-04-26: 17702025-11-08: 17562026-04-11: 17422026-10-31: 1731
LoserjmRandy BrownRude Boy20-9-0WelterweightVSFight details →WinnerusJacobe SmithCobe14-0-0Jacobe Smith
Elo1763Great
3Y trend1658 → 1763
2024-02-23: 16582024-10-01: 16732025-01-11: 16982025-06-28: 17152026-02-21: 17352026-10-03: 17482026-10-31: 1763
Ode Osbourne
Elo1577Solid
3Y trend1603 → 1577
2024-03-16: 16032024-09-14: 15912025-04-05: 16162025-08-09: 16032026-02-21: 15912026-10-31: 1577
LoserusOde OsbourneThe Jamaican Sensation13-10-0FlyweightVSFight details →WinnerusCody DurdenCustom Made19-11-1Cody Durden
Elo1636Solid
3Y trend1680 → 1636
2023-12-17: 16802024-07-20: 16592024-09-07: 16772024-12-07: 16622025-06-14: 16472025-11-01: 16342026-03-07: 16242026-04-25: 16382026-07-11: 16252026-10-31: 1636
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Yana Santos
Elo1646Solid
3Y trend1628 → 1646
2024-08-10: 16282025-05-03: 16452025-10-04: 16612026-10-31: 1646
Loser#7ruYana SantosFoxy17-9-0Women's BantamweightVSFight details →Winner#11brLuana Santos12-2-0Luana Santos
Elo1707Good
3Y trend1640 → 1707
2023-12-10: 16402024-07-13: 16692024-08-17: 16442025-05-17: 16632025-12-13: 16772026-06-20: 16922026-10-31: 1707
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Elo1702Good
3Y trend1594 → 1702
2024-03-08: 15942024-05-17: 16122025-04-11: 16432025-09-02: 16542026-02-21: 16682026-07-18: 16852026-10-31: 1702
WinnerusJean-Paul LebosnoyaniMufasa12-2-0WelterweightVSFight details →LoserazFarman Hasanov5-1-0Farman Hasanov
Elo1615Solid
3Y trend1578 → 1615
2024-02-23: 15782025-06-20: 16002025-11-21: 16212026-06-27: 16402026-10-31: 1615

Prelims

Francis Marshall
Elo1641Solid
3Y trend1630 → 1641
2024-08-24: 16302025-03-08: 16202026-02-28: 16382026-04-25: 16552026-10-31: 1641
LoserusFrancis MarshallFire10-4-0FeatherweightVSFight details →WinnerusDakota HopeHuracan12-2-0Dakota Hope
Elo1678Good
3Y trend1639 → 1678
2024-11-02: 16392025-06-13: 16552025-11-21: 16662026-02-20: 16792026-04-04: 16652026-10-31: 1678
Rodrigo Sezinando
Elo1638Solid
3Y trend1610 → 1638
2024-02-08: 16102024-05-09: 16302024-11-15: 16482025-09-13: 16202026-10-31: 1638
WinnerbrRodrigo Sezinando9-2-0WelterweightVSFight details →LoserseTheodor BerggrenSimba8-5-0Theodor Berggren
Elo1570Solid
3Y trend1553 → 1570
2023-12-09: 15532024-02-24: 15762024-06-01: 15992024-09-07: 16172024-11-23: 15892025-03-29: 15642025-10-04: 15872026-02-07: 16022026-06-27: 15872026-10-31: 1570
Julian Erosa
Elo1709Good
3Y trend1699 → 1709
2024-03-24: 16992024-07-13: 17152025-04-12: 17292025-05-17: 17142026-03-28: 16952026-10-31: 1709
WinnerusJulian ErosaJuicy J32-13-0FeatherweightVSFight details →LoserkrJeong Yeong LeeThe Korean Tiger11-4-0Jeong Yeong Lee
Elo1658Good
3Y trend1715 → 1658
2024-02-04: 17152024-07-20: 16952025-05-10: 16762026-10-31: 1658
Zach Reese
Elo1676Good
3Y trend1639 → 1676
2023-12-03: 16392024-06-09: 16672024-08-24: 16862025-01-18: 16682025-05-31: 16822025-11-08: 16982026-02-21: 16842026-07-11: 16642026-10-31: 1676
WinnerusZach ReeseSavage11-4-0MiddleweightVSFight details →LoserusMickey Gall7-8-0Mickey Gall
Elo1554Solid
3Y trend1583 → 1554
2024-06-02: 15832024-11-16: 15652026-10-31: 1554
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Nick Klein
Elo1518Average
3Y trend1596 → 1518
2023-11-22: 15962024-10-15: 16172025-02-22: 15932025-08-02: 15672026-10-31: 15322026-10-31: 1518
LoserusNick KleinBlue Collar6-4-0MiddleweightVSFight details →WinnerusJoseph KropschotThe Land Animal10-3-0Joseph Kropschot
Elo1630Solid
3Y trend1557 → 1630
2024-12-14: 15572025-05-09: 15792026-02-06: 15942026-08-11: 16152026-10-31: 1630
Talita Alencar
Elo1654Good
3Y trend1607 → 1654
2023-12-09: 16072023-12-10: 16222024-08-10: 15942025-04-05: 16192025-11-01: 16522026-04-25: 16682026-10-31: 1654
LoserbrTalita AlencarThe Problem Child8-2-1Women's StrawweightVSFight details →WinnervePiera RodriguezLa Fiera13-2-0Piera Rodriguez
Elo1720Good
3Y trend1668 → 1720
2024-05-18: 16682024-12-14: 16822025-08-02: 16932026-03-14: 17062026-10-31: 1720
Lucia Szabová
Elo1740Good
3Y trend1657 → 1740
2024-03-23: 16572024-07-20: 16712025-02-22: 16912025-08-09: 17082026-04-25: 17182026-08-01: 17282026-10-31: 1740
WinnerskLucia SzabováSilent Killer13-0-0Women's FlyweightVSFight details →LoserbrTainara LisboaThai Panther7-5-0Tainara Lisboa
Elo1576Solid
3Y trend1608 → 1576
2025-05-17: 16082025-10-18: 15882026-10-31: 1576
Event command center

Card at a glance

All 12 recorded outcomes are in

Complete
Frozen model coverage12/12 boutsEvery tracked bout has a pre-fight model snapshot.
Model vs Elo5 disagreements7 of 12 comparable forecasts pick the same side as Elo alone.
Review results and Elo movement

Recorded results vs forecast

How the card compared with expectations

Elo +3 vs model
Combat Edge model8-467% accuracy
Elo-only baseline11-192% accuracy
Biggest model surpriseRodrigo Sezinando wonThe frozen model gave the winner 19% against Theodor Berggren.

On 5 split calls, the model led 1-4.

See all 12 graded bouts
Model hitRenato Moicano vs Tom NolanPicked Tom Nolan · 71%Winner: Tom Nolan · Elo missModel hitRandy Brown vs Jacobe SmithPicked Jacobe Smith · 65%Winner: Jacobe Smith · Elo hitModel hitOde Osbourne vs Cody DurdenPicked Cody Durden · 52%Winner: Cody Durden · Elo hitModel hitYana Santos vs Luana SantosPicked Luana Santos · 73%Winner: Luana Santos · Elo hitModel missJean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman HasanovPicked Farman Hasanov · 59%Winner: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · Elo hitModel missFrancis Marshall vs Dakota HopePicked Francis Marshall · 58%Winner: Dakota Hope · Elo hitModel missRodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor BerggrenPicked Theodor Berggren · 81%Winner: Rodrigo Sezinando · Elo hitModel missJulian Erosa vs Jeong Yeong LeePicked Jeong Yeong Lee · 63%Winner: Julian Erosa · Elo hitModel hitZach Reese vs Mickey GallPicked Zach Reese · 78%Winner: Zach Reese · Elo hitModel hitNick Klein vs Joseph KropschotPicked Joseph Kropschot · 56%Winner: Joseph Kropschot · Elo hitModel hitTalita Alencar vs Piera RodriguezPicked Piera Rodriguez · 67%Winner: Piera Rodriguez · Elo hitModel hitLucia Szabová vs Tainara LisboaPicked Lucia Szabová · 74%Winner: Lucia Szabová · Elo hit

Event status

Complete

Event progress

All 12 recorded outcomes are in. Final fight details and published Elo changes stay together here.

  1. AnnouncementDoneDate and location tracked
  2. Fight cardDone12 bouts tracked
  3. ResultsDone12 of 12 outcomes recorded
  4. Elo movementPublished12 bouts matched to the published snapshot
View predictions & modelHow Combat Edge Elo works

Published rating impact

Elo movement from this event

12 matched bouts

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan is a completed mixed martial arts event scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, United States. The fight card includes 12 tracked fights, led by Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan, with bout links, fighter profiles, results, and Combat Edge stats. Main event result: Tom Nolan def. Renato Moicano by TKO.

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan quick answers

When is UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan?

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan is scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026. Start 8:00 PM EDT.

Where is UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan?

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan is listed for Meta APEX in Las Vegas, United States.

What is the main event for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan?

The main event listed for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan is Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan.

How many fights are on UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan?

Combat Edge currently tracks 12 fights for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan.

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