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Combat Edge Intelligence

Berkan Badur vs Rafael Aronov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'1"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1574 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSpirit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Berkan BadurNow 1576
If they win+24→ 1600
If they lose-24→ 1552
Rafael AronovNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Berkan BadurRafael Aronov
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
2 (50%)
Submission
4 (44%)
1 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Berkan Badur and Rafael Aronov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1580), separated by just 4 points.

Rafael Aronov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Berkan Badur finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Aronov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.